The original rationale for artificial water fluoridation was based on a survey in the 1930s of 21 cities in four states by H. Trendley Dean, a PHS dentist. Based on his "hunch" that fluoride prevented dental caries, Dean presented data suggesting that fluoride naturally in local water supplies apparently correlated with fewer cavities in children.
Dean's findings were much criticized for their scientific method but became the foundation for justifying the implementation of artificial water fluoridation in 1945. Dean later admitted under oath that his studies in those 21 cities did not even meet his own criteria. [Bryson C. The Fluoride Deception. Seven Stories Press. 2004. Chapter 3, notes 74,75.]
In 1981, the Austrian statistician Rudolph Ziegelbecker analyzed all of Dean's studies (Dean had omitted data from 26 states) plus all other published studies involving rates of dental caries in areas where the drinking water contained natural fluoride. The research involved more than 48,000 examined children in North America and Europe. The data showed that fluoride in water was not associated with less cavities:
"The prevalence of dental caries in children aged 12 to 14 from 136 communities with drinking water containing 0.155.8 ppm fluoride shows no relationship with the concentration of fluoride naturally in drinking water."
Today there is no evidence of any better oral health in the eight million Americans the CDC said are served by community water systems that have "sufficient naturally occurring fluoride concentrations." [CDC 2008]
On the other hand, Dean was correct about
increased dental fluorosis, as Ziegelbecker's analysis confirmed:
"It is evident that the incidence of 'mottled enamel' is positively correlated with the concentration of natural fluoride in drinking water."
From 1986 to 2004, the prevalence of mild dental fluorosis in US adolescents (aged 1215) more than doubled, from 4.1% to 8.6%. Moderate and severe dental fluorosis nearly tripled. [CDC 2010]
From 2004 to 2012, large increases in severity and prevalence were found. Total fluorosis prevalence increased from 41% to 65%. The rate of combined moderate and severe degrees increased the most, from 3.7% to 30.4%. [Neurath et al. 2012]
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